论文信息 - On the possibility of accurate public prediction

On the possibility of accurate public prediction

Abstract Henshel's (1995) challenge to practical applicability of the theorem demonstrating the possibility of public predictions of social behavior fails, for his examples do not show discontinuity of the public behavior to the magnitude of the prediction of behavior.

Herbert A. Simon | H. Simon

[1] The Grünberg/Modigliani and Simon possibility theorem: A social psychological critique , 1995 .

[2] H. Simon,et al. American Association for Public Opinion Research Bandwagon and Underdog Effects and the Possibility of Election Predictions , 2009 .