An Approach to Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Using Automatically Generated Traffic Maps

Trajectory and intention prediction of traffic participants is an important task in automated driving and crucial for safe interaction with the environment. In this paper, we present a new approach to vehicle trajectory prediction based on automatically generated maps containing statistical informa- tion about the behavior of traffic participants in a given area. These maps are generated based on trajectory observations using image processing and map matching techniques. The generated maps contain all typical vehicle movements and probabilities in the considered area. Our prediction approach matches an observed trajectory to a behavior contained in the map and uses this information to generate a prediction. We evaluated our approach on a dataset containing over 14000 trajectories and found that it produces significantly more precise mid-term predictions compared to motion model-based prediction approaches.

[1]  Gerd Wanielik,et al.  Comparison and evaluation of advanced motion models for vehicle tracking , 2008, 2008 11th International Conference on Information Fusion.

[2]  Radu Bogdan Rusu,et al.  3D is here: Point Cloud Library (PCL) , 2011, 2011 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation.

[3]  Martin Lauer,et al.  How good is my prediction? Finding a similarity measure for trajectory prediction evaluation , 2017, 2017 IEEE 20th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC).

[4]  Ching Y. Suen,et al.  A fast parallel algorithm for thinning digital patterns , 1984, CACM.

[5]  Thao Dang,et al.  Handling uncertainties in criticality assessment , 2011, 2011 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[6]  Amaury Nègre,et al.  Probabilistic Analysis of Dynamic Scenes and Collision Risks Assessment to Improve Driving Safety , 2011, IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Magazine.

[7]  Dan Feldman,et al.  Trajectory clustering for motion prediction , 2012, 2012 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems.

[8]  Véronique Berge-Cherfaoui,et al.  Vehicle trajectory prediction based on motion model and maneuver recognition , 2013, 2013 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems.

[9]  Robert C. Bolles,et al.  Random sample consensus: a paradigm for model fitting with applications to image analysis and automated cartography , 1981, CACM.

[10]  Yu Zheng,et al.  Trajectory Data Mining , 2015, ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol..

[11]  Thao Dang,et al.  A flexible method for criticality assessment in driver assistance systems , 2011, 2011 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).